Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 9.728695 10.818269 11.990797 13.348237 14.878756 16.553602 18.528693
2025-07-13 8.303493 9.830929 11.592558 13.782253 16.441741 19.580493 23.585180
2025-07-20 7.237304 9.049304 11.269922 14.210173 18.028712 22.857619 29.486085
2025-07-27 6.315873 8.285988 10.833768 14.403943 19.331457 25.971449 35.729739
2025-08-03 5.466959 7.480891 10.211750 14.236781 20.105226 28.484717 41.601379
2025-08-10 4.773691 6.781969 9.623163 14.006519 20.725531 30.846325 47.650915
2025-08-17 4.210824 6.187599 9.093475 13.767233 21.269115 33.144515 53.986367
2025-08-24 3.768883 5.711714 8.669979 13.615012 21.901167 35.646540 61.078842
2025-08-31 3.420255 5.333438 8.343333 13.559529 22.662000 38.449165 69.181588
2025-09-07 3.196894 5.124612 8.255104 13.875093 24.082154 42.585951 80.491479
2025-09-14 2.928756 4.810648 7.953882 13.777288 24.740853 45.429332 89.835894
2025-09-21 2.662605 4.470682 7.568432 13.474464 24.965809 47.467762 97.913393
2025-09-28 2.441543 4.191122 7.266547 13.303051 25.449816 50.157756 108.105094
2025-10-05 2.327124 4.088926 7.271066 13.713454 27.152503 55.635664 125.804409
2025-10-12 2.222394 3.993119 7.275951 14.124301 28.920369 61.570028 146.021124
2025-10-19 2.099407 3.850316 7.175401 14.307125 30.227944 66.715899 165.561318
2025-10-26 1.949035 3.640158 6.921119 14.135056 30.720408 70.057963 181.221372
2025-11-02 1.807840 3.434547 6.654629 13.902710 31.039022 73.038381 196.657059
2025-11-09 1.680005 3.243819 6.399240 13.662911 31.304017 75.934305 212.619265
2025-11-16 1.572461 3.084646 6.193677 13.510385 31.759311 79.408512 231.272100
2025-11-23 1.483059 2.955049 6.038067 13.454354 32.448975 83.641919 253.510966
2025-11-30 1.431152 2.899759 6.037590 13.766516 34.140207 90.983444 288.164643
2025-12-07 1.351467 2.777695 5.877360 13.669125 34.725621 95.267050 313.606336